Treasure Hunt 29-30 Nov 08

First time join treasure hunt..i feel its so fun and challenging. From KL to Cherating .... the best part never drive toPantai Timur before..

I and two of my collegue decide to join our orgz... treasure hunt since it our family day. Rather travel to east coast without nothing we want to have fun...hmmm its fun only that all the way your mind cracking to answer all those tricky question ....haha....

My friend had joint other Treasure hunt before so she help our team alot... thinking out of the box ....yes indeed...while driving my head ..thinking what....are nes cape... go/12 Oct ...12 oct.... busines.....

We are not rushing coz not our purpose just to have fun ...each time we figure out the anwer we laugh ...as loud as we can.... hahaha..... even we don't know its correct or not... along the highway..all awake ...nobody can sleep...

Past the toll Gambang ....if not mistaken .....start with the 25 core questions to answer we have to follow the tulip...and trip my car meter i think...

We are not expert so after reaching kuantan we tend to lost and turning there and here coz not reading the tulip in the correct way.... until 130pm still at Kuantan and ...worst ever i got a called from my tke from KL asking for stats.... i really tense that time i don't have the figures with me,... (my friend said do we really need to look for the figures...i also sometime confuse we all the critical call)...then of coz it really taken our mood to continue the hunt so we decide to stop looking at the shop and drive stright to Chearting...but non of us familiar with the route to chearting ... so ....

i stop twice asking people what is the right direction ....everybody feel so hungry we suppose to arrived at Cherating at 1.30 pm and if exceed that time the group will consider disqulified... so we just ok ....we are disqulified

We really fed up with the sign board ....we saw Impiana 45 KM later on we arrive at a junction then no more sign......which way to go....we lost again until reach pelabuhan Kuantan ....the tank begin to empty 2 bar...i don't know how far it can go...so we have to decide wther to turn back or go straight to look for petrol.

Later we decide to turn back and head to Kemaman..... luckly its the right direction ....we stop at petronas filled the tank and drive to Impian at about 3pm..... we just hope the lunch still there coz very hungray....

There are 4 treasure to buy but we know and bought only 2 items colgate and nut both correct coz ....we are really lost, and starving......also we think we are surely disqulified so my friend put the thing inside her handbag...we thought the "master/refree" was not there but..pity him he still wait for us to arrived ...so we still submit our answer and treasure..haha ..

And we are really thankful our ke still eating but ....unfortunetly he asked to sat and have lunch with him and his wife...so can't eat much ...protokol..hehe...we still starving ....the sambal belacan so pedas ...and the food not that tasty ... so before check in at suria we bought keropok lekor and satar...and eat it in our room.. that we reach at about 4pm..

Canopy by the beach where we have lunch and dinner also the family day event

Everbody fall asleep coz tired ...then we go to the beach at about 6....but nobody at the beach and it rainy day...go back to the hotel...and watch movies until past seven..

about 7.45 we set for the dinner near the beach with others from the orgz... where we got sagu hati (5th place in treasure hunt)....we think can win the treaure hunt if we finish all the Q...

My friend said next time we should do better...hmmm i also we can at least be at the 2 or 3rd place.

That night not that lucky didnt get lucky draw but my friend got....

The next day early morning i wake up ealy as usual must see sun rise....before 7 i was at the beach...later on my two friends join me ...

What more fun after that at about 730 we join aerobic poco poco...near beach ....never dance before but i think i like it. the instructor taught us 4 steps ...we dance about 1 1/2 hour until ...9 am ...really feel good...

After that we went to our room ...clean our self pack up our thing and get our breakfast about 10am.... then about 11.30 we check out and drive to Teluk Chempedak. Before that buy keropok .....

After lepak at Teluk Chempedak... eat ice cream and fries at McDonald then we drove back to KL at about 3pm...not that far actually Kuantan and KL...we reach KL about 630..

This is the first time joint orgz family day... worth it...we work together and have fun together that calls a team...

really sweet memories .....thinking joining treasure hunt again....

Meeting old friends

You may not anti -social but sometimes ...really don't know what to talk about when friend want to meet you ...so what u should do... of course asked the other friend of yours what they do when meet an old friend...it seem... unrealistic but it happen...

What you do when meet old friend
-update the latest
-talk about past
-if you meet in group tag along with those who loves to talk
-go for lunch or have something to eat surely take times
-go for a movie (if you don't like it ...just reject but not to pretend)

..old friend...some may materialistic....must you drive an imported car to travel with them ....some anything things ok ....at least you have transport of your own to travel....

....some look ellegant some...look natural....some look "seksi" but not clear ...but it does...

... some say all okay ...but no action...some may seem quiet but take action...
... some that you really attracted ....nice to talk with but.... high taste...

alot to learn about human

Busy weekend

Last week start on Friday ....had to stay back late

Friday stay back till 10pm

start in the morning data available on system at about 9.00 am this month data received one day late it suppose to be on Thursday... DN called early morning to confirm when all the tables will be completed ... coz as usual our Ministry called for details .... i said at 2.30 ..meaning no lunch break for all. coz of team work all the tables ready at 2.30 and send to 22 floor meeting for all top management... along the meeting more stats requested ... for analysis that drag us to asked IT to extract from back end.... cannot finish just too many tables

Saturday 1 Nov. start at 10.30am till 10 pm ... prepare all the tables ... as we listed more than 50 addition table requested .... TA unit email the draft of analysis for us to upadate until .... latest figures... Next Q wish that IT can upload the data on the system for everyone.. to take note on this ... wasting time to do the table manually coz .... if the system was on..eveyone can extract themselve... but as usual... still we need to furnish the tables ....

birthday cake ...chocolate cheese cake...hmmm nice ... warmest hug and kisses

Sunday start work at 9.00 am till 3 pm .... we determine to come early today as trade anaysis (TA) unit came at 12 noon just like the previous day... we completed all the tables according to the write up given by TA unit last night ....then lets others tables to be done on Monday ... its not difficult but tidious ...we checked and comments on the write up e-mail TA unit and went back coz need rest ....coz wrong figures ...wrong analysis...

Monday stay back until 10 pm....early morning Dr call asked on re-export ....i m not expert but still have to answer ..... no one else to refer ... then press release commitee meeting which start at 11 am end up at about 1.30 noon.... got a very unexpected message form MOF.... so 2.30 pm meeting agin to forecast 2009...export..... i learn new things.... Dr .... have her way of forecasting... i like it... at about 5 pm .. the top management edited the analysis ...i was with them until 7.30 ...then replace with my collegue ...which she ...pity her coz pregnant but can't help other friend need to take lrt at 10 pm ....she end up stay back until 12 pm...her hubby fetch her ....

Tuesday stay back until 9pm ... prepare kit for top management.... don't why ..its drag until 9 pm...TA unit waiting for the tables to ...print out coz we ..stats unit only prepare for the top person only.... we'r tired ... preparing the tables... and making photocopy is not easy.... me and my two friends get stuck with the photocopy machines .....but not need to stress out coz we seldom make photocopy ... usual the support staf do it ... all gone back....

one of my friend think she find the best way of photocop but when i checked all was wrong ...so had to recopy and arrage back ..all mess up...at that point time can't blame anyone ...

as to cool down ....we go for solat maghrib ..and came back and re arrange all the tables in the white folder ... at last it completed ..TA Unit calls many times... we really fed up ...actually can't just they wait ...

after delivered the 3 folder competed and tables for themselves to photocopy we went back...

Wednesday... the big day .... i left my hp at home.... early morning DN called me ... asked what is d main contributer to EE product ..... there goes ....what i really afraid off.... question which likes the answer at our finger tips... still my answer was used as my immediate bos not around ... they seem to rely on me for answer... hmmm...must read a lot....

Start at 1210-speech end at 1230...pm Q&A gone smoothly .... a Q...how much will E&E decline in value in 2009 from 2008....

Everymonth we have to do press release and the analysis as well... but now there is an additional report ...which will be done by TA unit for every quarter ... for me it is just normal things only that i should be well prepare ....what question the top management will ask ... i should say that i have a good team now ... as to do an analysis ...u must have the stats... without them ....it will be not easy to come out with a complete report on time....

want to develope my own database as to start forecasting....for 2009

My monthly forecast

So sad ...my monthly forecast missed target... however wish the annual will near to the actual...
coz this is the end of Q3 ...so many be the trend still upward... but lets see the 4 Q may be not ..so coz the declining of world economic ...

U are beautiful..

My friend forward me a powerpoint with this song....
must learn how to use ppt but i think the lyric of the song.. got words which was block by IT of my orgz ... hmmmm ...i just like the music

You'r beautiful
(james blunt)

My life is brilliant.
My love is pure.
I saw an angel.
Of that I'm sure.
She smiled at me on the subway.
She was with another man.
But I won't lose no sleep on that,
'Cause I've got a plan.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful, it's true.
I saw you face in a crowded place,
And I don't know what to do,'
Cause I'll never be with you.
Yeah, she caught my eye,As we walked on by.
She could see from my face that I was,Fucking high,
And I don't think that I'll see her again,
But we shared a moment that will last till the end.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful, it's true.
I saw you face in a crowded place,
And I don't know what to do,
'Cause I'll never be with you.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful.
You're beautiful, it's true.
There must be an angel with a smile on her face,
When she thought up that I should be with you.
But it's time to face the truth,
I will never be with you.

Forecast

Last friday morning KH called me to see him... i just dn't like to be call by any of the top management ..

KH want me to forcast Malaysia's export for 2008...what ??? i said i can't ..i dnt know how to do... but still must to coz .... who else to be told to do...

I just said i try ... coz i never done it before.. he want it before lunch...the time too short ... i need time to study on how to do it... he said just do simple one ... using product sector ...u forecast for four month an then the whole year 2008... to include the falling of commodities prices for crude petrol and palm oil.. also e&e ...

it really a headache before lunch friday ...how u want to do it....but then i remember my previous director Dr Mike ... had done a simple forecast ...i help him to provide the stats ... so

what a bless ..after searching ..i found the files sent by Dr Mike to me ...as i had help him and for my future reference .... i am glad that i had a director like him... it was in the year 2000 when YB Minister asked him to forcast the export figures for 2000 .... this we call 3 thing u bring with u when u die ... doa anak yg soleh... harta yg disedekahkan and ilmu yang digunakan even u are not there....

so even Dr Mike already on "pencen' but the knowleadge he taught me ... still can be use now 2008..

using his excel file i expand the stat to the latest we forecast from the year 1993 monthly data ... result look ok 9.7% ..near to epu 9.3% but all this not considering other factors... i tried many method untill lunch time ...

that day we also having jamuan raya at 2pm BPS ...i can't go coz to complete the forcast ..
2.45 pm KH called to see the output... well i show him the 9.7% ...but he not satisfied coz not considering other factors he mentioned ... i had to redo and to see him on tuesday...

my cuti deepavali ....not fun at all coz of how i want to forecast...but still went to JB on saturday and come back to KL on Sunday midnight ...so tired my sister had bought a new house ...coner lot so big space ....and the kenduri ....just going smoothly ....she must have to spent a lot ..

Monday...got bad flu coz so tired and cannot open my laptop ...then after maghrib... i force myself to look at the forecast...need to give something new to KH ... how...how...

Then i do regression 'multiple regression " using SPSS ...i developed a model ....Y=a+bX1+bX2+bX3.. meaning export value will be influenc by time..price of crude petrol, palm oil..e&e ..data monthly from 2005 til aug 2008...

The output seems ok .... but still not confident coz this is too technical...anyway..must bring something to him...

Today 9am KH called to see the result again... waaaa....tension .... i show him the regresiion output ....he said i think .... dn't need a model ... but just an estimation...

Use the x by sector ..take the % for EE..CP ..PO as decline for 4 month and other stagnant....do it again and send to me in one hour ...

O dear one hour .... forget the model then he need just in excel... i do as he asked and see him at 2 pm.... he said this one is ok ...but i want others to be consider ..too...pls go through again...

i redo and try to estimate using my own judgment which product will up and down..for the next four month... then 5.30 pm....KH called want to see the result .... now he is satisfied ...not the only three he mentioned but i had put more ....

Don't know what he want to do with it but he put it in his write up...my estimation is aroud 10.8-10.9% so i told him to put growth for 2008 bet 10-11%.

Trully, the way it was done was not correct the basis is not strong ... i said to him many times ... we can't forcast but he said it just for my usage .... I just dn't understand ....but now i must try to develope a forcast model that ...i know there will be another person will asked me why u put it drop by 6% ....and etc....

There will be a meeting tomorrow chair by KE.... KH want me to attend .... if he talk about the estimate figure... i will be in trouble and should be prepare for more challenges work ....i think i want to escape but how...hmmmm...lets see 2morrow....

End my Puasa 6

Today is the last day of my puasa 6... hppy ...so much challenges but at last..

What i do today.... reach ofic at 730am... amend the letter to DOS as DN requested to include all agreed by both side in the letter and it should not be too long...muhibbah again...

next time easier just to see the person who want to sign the letter rather taken a week amend here and there then still...had to rewrite...

I completed rewrite the letter and went to see him at 9.00 but had til wait until 9.20 ..to get see him... he amend it straight away... i think to be somebody on the top u must think fast and can write well..

than at last complete the muhibbah things ..as the letter send to DOS...

then continue looking the factor analysis again... now i understand that when i study KP there is alot more that i didn learn...

last night sleep at 12pm.... its good do smothing u likes.... i think need to learn forecating .....